Monetary Choice

Better than a gold standard. Your standard.


February 19, 2012

Gas prices are rising because dollar is falling

A news story about rising gas prices omitted the falling value of the dollar. Here’s my comment:

Prices are rising because the dollar has lost value. When the dollar falls by five percent, then merchants raise their prices just over five percent to get the **same value**. Iran, cold weather, refineries may worsen the problem, but the article does say demand has fallen.

The dollar has lost value because of deficit spending. The U.S. gov’t needs more money than it taxes. So Federal Reserve creates new money and lends it to the gov’t. That new money forces the value of your money to fall.

Eventually you are a seller of dollars and as any store owner will tell you if more people are selling what you are selling, then prices will fall. You start out selling your occupational service, such as graphic design or marketing or pottery. You sell your service or product for dollars. At that point, you are now a seller of dollars, and you don’t want there to be an increase in dollars, just as if you were selling blueberries and you don’t want there to be a glut of blueberries. You might sell dollars to get dinner. You might say the price of your ten dollars is one meal. Then a government contractor arrives, flush with new Federal Reserve money, and this contractor sells 10 dollars for 1/2 meal. So the restaurant owner can get 20 dollars for one meal from the contractor. So you must lower the price of your dollars to 20 dollars for one meal to compete. And that is how your money is devalued by the new money.

Though it gets worse. You now can buy only half as many meals. Where did the other half go? To the government. Your meals paid for the deficit spending.

February 5, 2012

Federal Reserve advocate recites 250 years of scare tactics at DC debate

Baker's face superimposed on fireman photoA Federal Reserve advocate warned of financial fires and “trouble” from bankers if the central bank is disbanded. Dean Baker, an economist and World Bank consultant, recycled these and other central banking scare tactics from the past 250 years at an evening debate in Washington, DC. Jeffrey Tucker, an economist and executive editor of Laissez Faire Books, argued for a free market in banking.

Baker repeatedly compared Federal Reserve* to a fire department, that “may not be the best, but you wouldn’t disband it.” The truth is a bit different. Far from dousing financial fires, Federal Reserve starts them by creating piles of new money that ignite into low-interest loans for many unprofitable projects. Banks earn interest and fees on the new loans, and if the borrower goes bust, they force taxpayers to cover losses. Even worse, if Federal Reserve does arrive, its fire hoses spout more new money that ensure continued low interest rates and a veritable bonfires of false booms, bankruptcies, and unemployment.

Debate stage showing Dean Baker, Jeffrey Tucker, and James HenryBaker continued his ominous theme by reciting the many booms and busts during the 19th and early 20th centuries–about one crash every 20 years in his view–to prove central bankers must manage the economy. Tucker, his opponent, countered that the government caused those booms and busts, through subsidies for railroads and other industries and banking regulations. I would also add that since Federal Reserve’s beginning in 1913, financial problems have been more severe, including the 1929 crash and ensuing depression, the late 1930s’ recession, the Savings & Loan debacle, the dot-com crash, and the most recent housing bubble and recession.

Dean Baker
Dean Baker

Evoking a mobster who extorts protection money, Baker reminded everyone about the 1907 crash where JP Morgan stepped in to supposedly save the financial system. Baker said, “If you don’t have the Federal Reserve, you’ll be controlled by JP Morgan and Goldman. However, the Federal Reserve Act of 1913 institutionalized bankers’ control of the financial system, giving them the power to appoint their own regulators—the Federal Reserve managers—and the power to create money. They recently used this power to bail themselves out of housing loans at taxpayer expense. At least in 1907, JP Morgan had to shell out his money to help other banks.

Jeffrey Tucker
Jeffrey Tucker

By adjusting the interest rate, Federal Reserve has the power to start and stop business booms. It is entirely possible for people with insider Federal Reserve knowledge to profit by buying stocks or homes before the boom and selling just before the bust. Whether these people use this information or not, this power to start and stop booms should not be in the hands of any one group.

How do you make the Federal Reserve dollar look good? Baker compared it to currencies that are worse. He said the dollar rose about 40 percent compared with other currencies in the ’90s, then lost ground during the past decade. He claimed that was “pretty good,” but he’s just comparing sinking ships – all currencies are being devalued. Only real items, with a primary use in society, are the best point of comparison. Measured against commodities and real products, the Federal Reserve dollar has lost about 95 percent of its value since Federal Reserve’s inception in 1913. For example, one dollar bought six boxes of cereal in 1950, and now buys only one-third of a box, whereas gold and probably any other item can be exchanged for about the same as they could in the 1950s.

Baker smeared the gold standard as “utopian.” He overlooks the 3,000 years in which gold, silver, tobacco, and other products were used as mediums of exchange throughout the world and much of U.S. history. Every person used to have the right to choose what to use as money, just as today a person can choose retirement investments.

“You can’t eat gold,” quipped Baker when someone said the high price of gold proved rampant inflation. He didn’t mention that you can’t eat dollars either. Those who chose gold as a means to protect their earnings during the past 10 years can certainly buy more food today than those who tried to build savings with dollars.

When pressed about low interest rates harming savers, Baker said he’s worried about the “millions of unemployed.” He overlooks the elderly who aren’t working either and who live off their savings and the interest. And should a Federal Reserve czar, I mean governor, have the power to choose who suffers during this recession? Moreover, Federal Reserve caused the housing bubble, luring many into the housing industry and subsequent unemployment.

The Federal Reserve’s government-enforced monopoly of the money system is a virtue, according to Baker. He compared it to a municipal water system monopoly that prevents redundant pipes down every street and thwarts merchants from over-charging for water. Yet, food is as important as water, but no one wants to give one company or municipality a monopoly on food.

An audience member pointed out that people also defended the U.S. phone company monopoly – whose chief innovation during the 50 years before de-monopolization was an upgrade from rotary dial to push-button, all for the low price of $2 per long-distance minute. After de-regulation, “redundant” phone lines and now cellular towers introduced nearly free calls with phones so advanced that they’re no longer even phones. The freedom of people to choose with whom they do business forces merchants to continually improve products and reduce costs. Expect nothing less if money was de-monopolized.

“Someone” must manage the system, said Baker. Who should that be? An audience member said the better question is who could that be? The “knowledge problem” handicaps any single person or group of people from knowing the best or correct price to sell or rent cars, homes, or anything else. No one knows the correct interest rate, which is really the price to rent money. Millions of private transactions reveal a price, and it changes continually.

The most important point about Federal Reserve was barely covered. Baker said five percent inflation may be needed to spur the economy, all engineered by Federal Reserve creating new money and lending it to the government. This is NOT a solution, as the new money will devalue existing money in circulation, like a tax on everyone’s money. Five percent inflation is a five percent loss to everyone’s bank accounts and salaries. Prices then rise five percent since money is worth less.

Andrew Jackson battling the many heads of the central bank
Jackson battling bankers

Similar banking debates likely occurred before shutting down the other three central banks in U.S. history: the Bank of the United States in 1785, the First National Bank in 1811, the Second National Bank in 1836. Andrew Jackson called central bankers a “den of vipers.” Thomas Jefferson said “banking institutions are more dangerous to our liberties than standing armies.”

Dismantling the fourth iteration of a U.S. banking cartel and monopoly will reduce financial fires, and those that do occur will be less damaging and shorter in duration. Mistakes will be suffered by the people who made them, not forced upon taxpayers and savers for the benefit of financial mobsters and their crony firemen.

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*Note to reader: I don’t place the in front of Federal Reserve because it’s a private company like Federal Express, though with a monopoly in its field.

Empire UnpluggedJames Henry hosted and moderated the debate as part of his new Empire Unplugged salon series. This debate was held at Montserrat House, a party venue.

Related content:

 

January 7, 2012

Only mis-managed banks need liquidity

Europe doesn’t need liquidity. Only some European banks, the mis-managed ones, need funds or they will fail. And if they did fail, the customers would simply go to other banks. Some customers might lose money, but not everyone, which is what happens when the European central bank issues new money. The value of the new money comes from the money already in circulation. If you hear the word liquidity, take action.

Related article.

January 7, 2012

8th largest bankrupty in US, did you notice?

The eighth largest bankruptcy occurred at the end of October. Did you notice? Did the economy crash? Nope. MF Global was a derivative dealer that invested in loans to European nations that lost value. Fortunately, the US central bank did not create new money to “bail out” this fraudulent, poorly managed firm. And fortunately the US Federal Government did not give tax receipts to the firm. The company failed and all its customers moved to new brokerages.

Many customers lost money, but those losses weren’t passed on to taxpayers via government bail-outs and weren’t passed on to people who own dollars via a central bank rescue.

A company failed. It happens every day. This time, only the company’s clients suffered, not people who couldn’t even explain a derivative, including this author.

Related wikipedia entry.

January 7, 2012

Greek politicians will steal from EU or Greek taxpayers

Greece’s Prime Minister warned that Greece will leave the EU and return to the old currency, the drachma, if it does not receive more money from the EU. In essence, Greek politicians want to steal from either all EU taxpayers or just Greek taxpayers. By returning to the drachma, Greek politicians can issue as much currency as they need or want, and the value of that new currency comes from anyone holding the currency. If you’re in Greece or the EU, consider other ways to store your wealth.

See related AP article.

January 1, 2012

Japan & China to decrease use of dollars in trade

Japan and China announced they will start using their own currencies for trade, decreasing their use of Federal Reserve dollars. This will reduce the demand for dollars and reduce its value.

Bloomberg: Yen-Yuan Trade Plan to Cut Dollar Dependence of China, Japan

 

December 11, 2011

Response to UK politicians about Iceland banking crimes

A UK politician, justifiably upset about the banking fraud of some banks in Iceland, wants to prosecute all the people who live in Iceland. Here’s my response:

You can blame the policeman, but not arrest him. If Iceland’s politicians conspired with the criminal banks to defraud UK savers, then you can arrest and prosecute the politicians, along with the bank owners and responsible employees. If the politicians simply ignored the criminals, then you can only vote for others during the next election (or ideally disband the gov’t completely). It is the criminals who are responsible for the crimes, and in this case it was the banks who took on deposits and then lent them to people who likely would never repay. The UK should be going after the bank operators and that might mean an extradition request.

Don’t blame ALL the people who live in Iceland for the crimes of a bank owners. There’s a local bank in my town here in the USA. If they lose your deposits, don’t expect me to pay. And I won’t come after you if your local Huddersfield banks steal deposits.

For your next column, write about the need for people to investigate banks, especially ones in other countries, before depositing their money and the crucial need to separate government from banking so people don’t expect taxpayers to foot the bill for the crimes of banking officials — no one expects taxpayers to cover missing dry cleaning items or failed restaurants.

Read politician’s column.

December 11, 2011

On the idea of Iceland adopting Canadian currency

Here’s my response to a journalist writing about Iceland adopting the Canadian currency:

Aluminum would be better as money than digits or pieces of paper. Fundamentally, money is a popular PRODUCT used as a medium of trade. It’s a PRODUCT with a primary use in society, and for that reason people accept it since they know others want it. No one uses digits or paper as a necklace for a night on the town, but they do use gold, and they use aluminum for many applications. Aluminum was never chosen as money because it’s quite heavy compared to its value.

The loonie and other national currencies such as the krona, pound, euro, us dollar, etc. are all worthless digits and paper forced upon the people by governments that use these fiat monies to tax people, by creating more of the digits, which steal value from all existing digits. Governments vary in how much they tax their subjects and Canada’s ruling party has been kinder than others.

Moving to the loonie from the krona would be a step up, though still a step in purgatory. A step into honesty would be moving to a product and if aluminum is the only option, so be it. People will use credit cards and electronic transfers to trade aluminum, making weight a non-issue in these times.

Here’s the column about moving to the Canadian currency.

November 24, 2011

Dollar Price Increase – Amazon reseller services

Amazon’s Seller Service, that helps people store, pack and ship items, steeply raised its prices denominated in dollars. Some prices increased about 80 percent! No surprise since Federal Reserve doubled the money stock in 2008 and this will mean the value of each dollar will fall by one half, and this means merchants will double their prices (in dollars).

In the five years since we launched, we’ve made few adjustments to our fulfillment fees, despite rising costs to us and to other fulfillment and transportation providers. [emphasis added]

…we are announcing the following changes to the FBA fee structure to better reflect our costs…

  • The fee for Media Units under $25.00 will change from $0.60 to $1.00.  [one dollar used to be worth 1.6 media units; now it's worth 1 media unit -- a 38% decrease in the value of the dollar]
  • The fee for Non-Media Units under $25.00 will change from $0.75 to $1.00.  [23% decrease in dollar purchasing power

Expect more price changes (if you use dollars) since Federal Reserve issued 28% more dollars in 2001 (so far!).


November 13, 2011

Fed creates 28% more dollars in 2011

Thru October, Federal Reserve and its member banks have created 28 percent more dollars. This comes on top of their 18 percent increase in 2010 and a 104 percent increase in 2008. Each increase will mean a similar decrease in the dollar’s value, from what it would have been without the increase.

Monetary Base from 1985 to 2011 with table gradient

The vertical gray bars represent US recessions. 2011 doesn’t have a gray bar. Either recessions do not directly impact the money stock or the US is still in a recession. Or maybe 2008′s 104 percent increase relates to the recession, while the 2011 increase occurred because fewer nations, money funds, and people were lending money to the U.S., so Federal Reserve created dollars and lent them to the U.S. government.

Federal Reserve stealing your batterIf you’re not getting those new dollars, then you’re providing them, since the value of the new dollars comes from the value of all existing dollars. Imagine if you were filling a cupcake tray that has 12 spots and you ran out of batter before filling the final three. You would take batter from the other nine. Fed Reserve and it’s main client, the US Federal Government, and its main clients, military contractors, are eating your cake.

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Download Fed Data with Gradient Table [XLS]

View original chart from St. Louis office of Federal Reserve