Is another recession looming?

One way to try to forecast booms and busts is to look at changes in the quantity of dollars in circulation. More dollars, means more loans, and more jobs but also more inflation and lower valued salary. As of May, 2015, the quantity of dollars increased about 8 percent versus last year, but this increase was a little less than the prior annual increase and the increases have been declining. Fewer dollars means fewer loans and less business transactions BUT also less inflation and a higher value salary, if you still have a job.

Annual changes in Fed U.S. Dollars - tapering last few years - a another recession may be coming

 

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